Climate analysis

Climate work splits cleanly into two questions that get run together: what is physically happening and who is exposed, and whether a proposed intervention works at scale. These briefs keep them apart — observed record and attribution on one side, deployment evidence and processing-concentration risk on the other, with projections attributed to whoever produced them.

Physical risk and exposure · transition supply chains · solution readiness · processing concentration · policy instruments

Will EPR laws close the textile recycling gap?

The strongest case against making clothing brands pay for textile recycling is France: after 18 years of per-garment fees, about 32% of textiles are collected against a legally mandated 60% target.

Key takeaways
  • Destroying unsold clothing became illegal for large companies in Europe on 19 July 2026, aimed at the estimated 250,000-600,000 tonnes burned or landfilled each year — the strongest argument in the law's favour.
  • Supporters and skeptics both accept that clothing-sorting machines now identify fibers with over 95% accuracy; they part ways on whether producer fees fund recycling capacity or mostly admin and collection.

Pyrocumulonimbus (pyroCb) — fire cloud

A pyrocumulonimbus — a thunderstorm generated by wildfire heat rather than atmospheric dynamics — has formed over Gironde in southwestern France for the first time in the country's recorded history, generating its own lightning, downdrafts…

Key takeaways
  • The FNSPF has stated the fire front cannot be fought directly under current conditions, making rainfall the only viable suppression mechanism — but the pyroCb itself is too dry to guarantee precipitation.
  • Pyroucb formation is not reliably forecast even by state-of-the-art operational models; the transition from conventional fire plume to thunderstorm depends on real-time atmospheric conditions that models represent imperfectly.

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